Maximize your ROI with Opportunity & Risk Navigation
Unlocking growth in the low-and-no alcohol space
How we helped a luxury alcohol brand evaluate and enter one of the fastest-growing categories in premium drinks
A global luxury alcohol brand wanted to understand whether a new generation of consumers was ready for a high-end low and no alcohol offering. They had observed cultural and behavioral shifts toward moderation and mindful drinking and wanted to know if this represented a credible commercial opportunity worth pursuing. The challenge was to identify viable audiences, map the drivers of low and no alcohol consumption, and size the opportunity across key markets. We applied our Opportunity and Risk Navigation methodology to bring clarity, evidence, and commercial rigor to a rapidly emerging category.
Our Approach
The Outcome
The work enabled the luxury alcohol brand to:
- Enter the low and no alcohol category early and credibly
- Build a targeted activation and partnership strategy
- Align senior teams around a clear and validated commercial opportunity
- Understand the motivations of mindful drinkers and how to serve them
- Create a category presence that matched the expectations of high-end consumers
The brand went on to form a high-profile partnership and launch a new series of low alcohol serves designed for upscale social settings. The category has since become a multi-billion-dollar global market, validating the strategic decision to move early.
“We were able to identify three new growth territories and accelerate market entry with a level of certainty that traditional research never gave us. This fundamentally changed how we approach category expansion.”
Opportunity & Risk Navigation helps organizations distinguish between noise and signal
Opportunity & Risk Navigation helps organizations turn uncertainty into quantified growth advantage by transforming raw signals into direction and commercial clarity. We combine market-demand analysis, de-risking strategies, and whitespace identification with real-time commercial signals, consumer insight, and investment-grade financial modeling to guide what to act on now, next, and later, and what each decision is worth. Our approach applies proprietary foresight analytics, maturity and velocity scoring, and dynamic market simulation to reveal where commercial momentum is forming, where risk exposure is intensifying, and where early-mover advantage remains.
Our Approach
What you get
1) Quantified foresight frameworks and prioritization dashboards
2) Real-time visualization of signal velocity and momentum
3) A curated portfolio of validated opportunities
3) TAM/SAM/SOM sizing and EBIT projections
5) Scenario modeling and resilience planning
6) Advisory partnership that builds continuous foresight capability
What you gain
1) Clarity: confidence on where to focus efforts and resources
2) Confidence: decisions grounded in financial and predictive evidence
3) Capability: empowered teams fluent in foresight navigation
4) Competitive edge: faster decisions, earlier entry, and measurable ROI from anticipation
Best for
1) Organizations facing disruption or shifting market demand
2) Strategy, innovation, insights, R&D, and growth teams
3) Leaders prioritizing multiple emerging opportunities
4) Executives who need defensible, data-backed decision frameworks
5) Companies seeking earlier market visibility and future-proofed investment